Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.071788 0.080672 0.089791 0.099821 0.110515 0.121548 0.133763
2025-05-04 0.058943 0.072454 0.087048 0.103845 0.122507 0.142481 0.165350
2025-05-11 0.047847 0.063780 0.081776 0.103280 0.127963 0.155124 0.186992
2025-05-18 0.041509 0.059317 0.080196 0.105901 0.136152 0.170133 0.210715
2025-05-25 0.036300 0.055391 0.078555 0.107838 0.143044 0.183277 0.232023
2025-06-01 0.030074 0.049392 0.073728 0.105358 0.144227 0.189413 0.244936
2025-06-08 0.024977 0.044234 0.069417 0.103031 0.145185 0.194961 0.256897
2025-06-15 0.022505 0.042345 0.069060 0.105447 0.151767 0.207080 0.276528
2025-06-22 0.019923 0.039989 0.067846 0.106571 0.156602 0.217008 0.293506
2025-06-29 0.018736 0.039551 0.069129 0.110873 0.165392 0.231737 0.316274
2025-07-06 0.016558 0.037340 0.067767 0.111531 0.169452 0.240614 0.331961
2025-07-13 0.016822 0.039025 0.071946 0.119669 0.183170 0.261492 0.362325
2025-07-20 0.014100 0.035664 0.068866 0.118105 0.184648 0.267624 0.375341
2025-07-27 0.012911 0.034796 0.069413 0.121566 0.192793 0.282264 0.399054
2025-08-03 0.010855 0.032096 0.067002 0.120747 0.195197 0.289636 0.413810
2025-08-10 0.009830 0.031167 0.067220 0.123592 0.202458 0.303170 0.436250
2025-08-17 0.008777 0.030018 0.066988 0.125715 0.208702 0.315395 0.457077
2025-08-24 0.007002 0.027048 0.063572 0.122986 0.208190 0.318808 0.466747
2025-08-31 0.005519 0.024369 0.060399 0.120425 0.207758 0.322217 0.476336
2025-09-07 0.004965 0.023764 0.060707 0.123084 0.214562 0.335072 0.497936
2025-09-14 0.004287 0.022698 0.060123 0.124320 0.219343 0.345270 0.516173
2025-09-21 0.004092 0.022891 0.061785 0.129048 0.229082 0.362048 0.542888
2025-09-28 0.003469 0.021741 0.060921 0.129771 0.233108 0.371265 0.559932